🕒 The latest on Trump’s approval rating
Updated October 30, 2026
Donald Trump’s approval rating recently hit an all time low of 36.3 percent. It has since rebounded about a point, and today sits at 37.3 percent. Still, with a disapproval rating of about 60 percent, Trump is ending the midterms in a far worse place than he did during his first term.
The share of Americans who strongly approve of the president is just 20 percent, compared to nearly 50 percent who strongly disapprove. -EMD, 10/28/26
See also: Midterm election forecast, generic congressional ballot dashboard, and Iran War support dashboard.
This is the landing page for Silver Bulletin presidential approval ratings. We’ll regularly update the charts below as new polls about Donald Trump’s approval rating come in.1 This page is designed to be viewed on the web rather than in our email client or in the Substack app.
Click here for more information on how the average works. The Silver Bulletin average weights more reliable polls heavily — you can find our latest pollster ratings here.
The topline: So, just how popular is Trump?
Our default average reflects a combination of all polls, whether conducted among adults, registered voters or likely voters. If a pollster releases multiple versions of the same survey, we use the all-adult version of the poll before the registered voter version.2 This is because all Americans have a say in how popular the president is — whether or not they vote.
The polls: What do the surveys say?
Each poll gets an “influence” score based on its pollster rating, its sample size, its recency, and how often a pollster is publishing numbers.3 Sometimes, surveys with mediocre pollster ratings have more weight in the model just because they were conducted very recently or polled more people.
Inevitably, there’s a lot of disagreement from survey to survey, not just because of statistical variation but because pollsters have long had trouble pegging down Trump’s popularity. By clicking on the “adjusted results” tab, you can see how the “house effects” adjustment that corrects for these predictable differences works in our model. You can also click here to download every Trump approval poll in our database — including some additional details not shown in the chart below.
The issues: What do Americans think of Trump’s policies?
Pollsters don’t just ask about Trump’s overall job approval, they also ask about how well he’s dealing with different issues. We’re tracking how the public feels about Trump’s handling of four topics: the economy, immigration, trade and tariffs, and the cost of living.
The deep dive
We also have a few features we’re reserving for paying subscribers:
How do Trump’s approval ratings compare to every past president since Truman?
How many voters strongly approve or disapprove of Trump?
What are Trump’s numbers in only polls of adults or only polls of likely and registered voters?
You can find all of that, plus downloadable data on every president’s approval rating every day since 1945, down below.
First, here is the number of Americans who strongly approve or disapprove of Trump as opposed to only somewhat doing so. Note that we to make one slight adjustment to this data: a handful of pollsters don’t ask about strong versus soft approval, so we prorate the averages (the relative number of “strong” and “somewhat” responses) so that they line up with our topline numbers.
Next, here are Trump’s numbers among only polls of registered and likely voters and only polls of all adults, respectively. The former might provide a better gauge for how Republicans will fare at the midterms, while the latter in theory provides a more reliable indicator of what a random American would tell you about Trump if you stopped them on the street.
Finally, here’s how Trump’s numbers compare to all past presidents since Truman:
If you want even more detail, check out the file below to see our daily approval polling averages for every president. Note that these are calculated retrospectively; Substack wasn’t around during the Eisenhower administration.
If you notice any bugs in the charts or missing polls, just shoot Eli a message and he’ll get them fixed as quickly as possible.
And we use the registered voter version before the likely voter version.
We don’t want any one pollster to dominate the averages — so if pollsters have conducted multiple recent surveys, the model essentially divides up the overall weight between them.